Bookie Chat
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Chat with the Vegas Insider Handicappers at 3:30pm EST
Q: Steve (Knoxville) I thought that Orlando had a shot to steal Game 1 and got hosed royally. Who loses their three-point touch like that? I still like the Magic for Sunday, but should I go with the point spread or money line? R: josh Orlando losses their three-point touch like that Steve. By the way, good to be here, thanks for having me.... While this team ranked eighth best in 3-point shooting percentage during the regular season, in defeats it was a different story. The Magic found themselves throwing up a 31.5 three point percentage versus the 40.6% figure during wins. So when we say this is a club that lives by the three's and dies by the three's it isn't an urban myth but the cold hard truth. Q: Chris (New York) I was shocked by the disappearance of Orlando's perimeter shot in Game 1. It looks like they dropped the total for Sunday night. Do you think the Magic will keep shooting poorly from three point line or will it be a better game that that. R: josh It's tough to say Chris as I stated the obvious shooting difference in the first response. I'm not surprised by books lowering the total figure in response, down to 202 1/2. I know I hammered the 'under' on Thursday as did many who believed that the 'under' would improve to 5-1 in head-to-head play in Los Angeles. If Orlando doesn't force Kobe's hand like Denver did then don't expect one facet of the game to help out much. The Magic are going to need much more the JameeNelson coming back and an outside shot to get L.A. thinking long and hard. Q: Andy (Long Island) I was once advised not to risk over -160 in MLB. Do you feel there is any "cut off" point when taking ML favorites for the sake of money management in baseball? If so what do you advise? R: josh It's always good to set limits for yourself in life itself so sure, MLB wagering past a certain price is probably a wise decision to protect your assets and risks. As far as a cutoff point, I'll say that taking C.C. Sabathia at -180 versus the Rays is probably a good example of staying away. Use discretion and always do your home work because laying too much lumber could be just bad for your profits all together. Q: Mike (Manhasset) Big series coming up for the Rays and Yankees tonight. CC is a big favorite at home against David Price. Do you think Sabathia will shut them down? I think Tampa Bay is warming up on offense and could use that right field for batting practice. R: josh I'd say stay away unless it means that much to you. First off, the weather looks to be getting worse through the day so this game might not even get underway. However, at first glance I saw a hitting lineup that Joe Girardi drew up and I think my baby cousin could do a much better job. David price might be on a pitch count but he's the real deal. At -180ish, there's just too much risk and not much reward in favor of the Yanks. Price is coming off a solid start with one major draw back. Being he's a southpaw, the Yankees are ranked first in hitting versus lefties. Keep that in mind. Q: Eddie (Oklahoma City) I've been burnt a lot this season when taking a home favorite on the run line. Now I want to change it up to see if I have better luck with road teams on the run line. Are there any road faves that look good to cover? R: josh First, if you start losing on road teams on the road line all you really did was ditch one strategy and adopted another one without much change. As for some opinions for tonight: I'm not crazy about any of the dogs but I'd say the Cubs have the best chance at -121. The Reds' Micah Owings has been horrendous this season. Three losses in the last four starts is just the tip of this problem. Not to say that Chicago's starter, Zambrano has been lights out but after getting booted in last game expect the ace to come with the heat. Giving up 2.5 runs per game in his last four starts goes a long way and Cincinnati is batting just .254 on the season. Cubs look like the best road dog on the board despite some major setbacks (1-7 in last eight on the road). Q: Robert (Tennessee) I need some quality winners tonight in on the diamond. My favorite play is the Tigers on the run line with Verlander on the mound. What are you best bets for tonight? R: josh Best bets: Tampa Bay(if the game gets off), Baltimore and Atlanta (gotta like Jurrgens in this spot despite his last outing) |
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